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Archive for August 4th, 2006

GUEST COMMENTARY: No U.S. Domination After Castro

Posted by kinchendavid on August 4, 2006

By  Sir Ronald Sanders

Fidel Castro’s temporary step-down from power while he convalesces from surgery has again raised the question about what happens with Cuba after he dies.

 The expectation in some parts of the United States especially Miami, the home of many Cuban exiles, is that the Castro regime will collapse, Cuban exiles will return in triumph to claim expropriated properties, and Cuba will revert to the US-controlled satellite that it was prior to the 1959 revolution that brought Castro to power.

 None of these scenarios is likely to be played out.

 Castro’s death, whenever it comes, may be cause for celebration by Cuban exile groups in the US and it will probably be welcomed by groups opposed to him within Cuba itself.  But, it is unlikely to mean a sudden collapse of the Cuban government and the dismantling of the system it operates.

 Cuba is not the same country it was in 1959 when it was highly reliant on the US for trade and investment, its people were largely uneducated and its government inexperienced in the ways of international diplomacy.

 Today, the Cuban people boast an education system that has given them literacy, qualifications and confidence.

 There are some 500,000 students currently enrolled in its University system, and this number does not count the many hundreds of thousands who have graduated since 1959.

 These are people who are perfectly able to negotiate in their own best interests, and they are most unlikely to sit back and allow the US or any other country to dictate terms of engagement for trade or investment.

 It has to be recalled that the Cuban people have done without US trade and investment since the US itself imposed an embargo on Cuba.  Not having access to the US market will bring no new development or hardship to Cuba. 

 At the end of the first quarter of this year, President Castro announced 11.8 percent growth in the Cuban economy. 

 This was achieved by a rapidly growing tourism industry and by increased trade in goods with a number of Latin American countries and the Peoples Republic of China.  The US played no part in it.

 

Cuba’s tourism now earns approximately US$2 billion a year with half of the tourists coming from Canada, Argentina and Venezuela, and the other half from Europe, principally Italy, Germany and France.  Air Canada alone runs 10 flights per week into Cuba in the summer, rising to 28 weekly flights in the winter.

 While Cuba’s tourism would increase if Americans were allowed to travel there, the present level of investment in tourism in Cuba and large number of visitors (2 million in 2004), suggest that Cuba can afford to drive a tough bargain with US companies.

 The truth is the inordinate length of the US government embargo against Cuba, and the years of restriction on US companies investing in Cuba may very well have created a highly competitive and very difficult market for US companies to enter as new boys on the block.

 Sure, many of the Cuban people would like to be able to enjoy unrestricted travel including to the US.  But, a desire to travel and even to buy goods produced in other countries does not amount to a surrender of Cuban pride and autonomy.

 And, the Cubans have grown in confidence.  They are perfectly aware of their accomplishments in health, education and international diplomacy. They know that their doctors and nurses are serving in many countries of the world, particularly the Caribbean and Latin America; that their universities are the training ground for an increasingly large number of students from neighbouring countries; and that their professional foreign service has won them respect in the UN and other international organisations.

 As for the return of expropriated property to Cuban exiles: this too is unlikely to happen unless other governments, such as the US, are prepared to underwrite compensation to them.  The lands are now occupied either by hundreds of Cubans who stayed at home after the revolution or by state-owned enterprises. 

 There may be agitation for the return of expropriated property in the US Congress from those reliant on the votes or financial backing of Cuban exiles, but in a post-Castro era – particularly one in which the US embargo is dropped and US investors have to compete with investors from China, Canada, Europe and Latin America, a tough and demanding stance by the US on compensation for Cuban exiles will cut little ice.

 In any event, when Castro dies, neither the government nor the system will collapse overnight.  There are now too many – including the military – with a vested interest in ensuring that its transformation to something else is gradual.

 What the “something else” will be is difficult to predict fully.  But, it is reasonable to assume that it will include a more open political system within Cuba itself, and greater tolerance for dissent.

 This will come from the insistence of Cuba’s trading partners in the European Union, Canada.  For, if Cuba wants to bargain hard with the US in a post-embargo era, and to ensure that it does not become too reliant on China as it was with Russia, it will have to act on the urgings of the EU and Canada.

 The Cuban economy will also have to open to outside investors in a less restricted way than it now is.  This will mean greater foreign ownership than presently exists in key areas such as oil, natural gas and nickel.  But, it does not have to mean foreign domination, and certainly not domination by any one country.

 In a real sense, the US embargo has helped Cuba to strengthen its political and economic independence.

 So, no hope for US domination of Cuba should spring from the prospect of Fidel Castro’s death.  The better prospect, particularly for US companies, is an end to the US embargo and a real effort by both the US and Cuba to establish the terms of a relationship that would benefit them both.

                                                         * * *

Sir Ronald Sanders is a business executive and former Caribbean Ambassador to the World Trade Organisation who publishes widely on Small States in the global community.

Responses to: ronaldsanders29@hotmail.com

          

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BOOK REVIEW: ‘The Swamp’: A Fast-Paced Run Through the Everglades and Florida Real Estate Development; History, Ecology Never Was So Fun to Read!

Posted by kinchendavid on August 4, 2006

There are no other Everglades in the World – South Florida Author Marjory Stoneman Douglas (1890-1998)

Reviewed By David M. Kinchen

Hinton, WV – The Florida hurricane of 1928, which struck the hardest at Lake Okeechobee, killed 2,500 people, mostly poor blacks who drowned in the vegetable fields of the Everglades, writes Michael Grunwald in “The Swamp” (Simon & Schuster, 464 pages, illustrations, maps, $27.00).

The death toll was second only to the Galveston, Texas hurricane of September 1900, when 8,000 to 10,000 died. The Okeechobee hurricane death toll was higher than that of Hurricane Katrina in 2005, “another case of poor blacks in low-lying floodplains betrayed by inadequate dikes.”

Subtitled “The Everglades, Florida, and the Politics of Paradise,” “The Swamp” is an lively, entertaining and thoroughly researched book about humans attempting to take a perfect ecosystem – the Kissimmee River valley, Lake Okeechobee and the Everglades — and trying to “improve” it.

We humans never seem to leave well enough alone, as the siting of New Orleans and the monstrous over development of South Florida amply demonstrate. I could add the development of a gigantic megalopolis in a place that gets about 14 inches of rain a year – greater Los Angeles – and the more recent out of control development of another city in a desert, Las Vegas. The real motto of Homo Americanus seems to be: “anything worth doing is worth overdoing – and then some.”

A prize-winning national reporter for The Washington Post, Grunwald traces the history of the Everglades from its beginnings in the Ice Ages to its function as a natural “river of grass,” as Marjory Stoneman Douglas dubbed it in her 1947 Rivers of America book (Those wonderful books enchanted me when I was in high school in the 1950s! Numbering 65, they rivaled the WPA guidebooks to the states in sheer readability) to thoroughly misguided attempts to drain the swamp that isn’t a swamp. It really is a slow moving body of water than once covered much of southern Florida, providing a lush habitat for thousands of species of animals and plants and purifying the water through sawgrass (not really a grass) and limestone aquifers, Grunwald writes.

In some respects, the destruction of the Everglades was inspired by the draining of the swamp where Chicago now is, Grunwald suggests. In fact, one attempt to “improve” the Everglades came from a 1913 report produced by 65-year-old Isham Randolph, “one of America’s best-respected hydraulic engineers.” (Pages 160-61). Randolph had served on the Panama Canal board and had overseen the Chicago Drainage Canal, “a gargantuan project best remembered for reversing the flow of the Chicago River.”

Almost all the attempts to destroy the Everglades were motivated by development, first of cattle ranching in the Kissimmee Valley, where the winding river was turned into a die-straight canal to keep the river from flooding the land; to draining areas south of Lake O to create gigantic sugar-growing fields. I’ve never understood the need for so much sugar – I never use it in my coffee or cereal — but it produced multimillionaires who had terrific clout in Florida. One of them – in fact the father of the Everglades sugar industry, Grunwald writes — was Ernest “Cap” Graham, father of the late Washington Post publisher Phil Graham, Miami Lakes developer Bill Graham and Florida Governor and U.S. Senator Bob Graham.

The 1928 hurricane – they weren’t named in those days – ended the Florida land boom for almost two decades, but it didn’t stop plans by a variety of developers and Florida governors to dig canals, build dikes that would withstand hurricanes and generally destroy an ecosystem unique in all the world.

The Everglades National Park that was dedicated by President Harry Truman on Dec. 7, 1947 – a month after the publication of Douglas’ “The Everglades: River of Grass.” The park included only 1.3 million acres, excluding all of the upper Keys, Big Cypress and “everything else north of the Tamiami Trail, the coral reefs, the Turner River area, the marshes of northeast Shark Slough along the park’s eastern boundary, and a 22,000-acre tract of farmland inside the park known as ‘The Hole in the Donut.’”

The newest Florida land boom was underway when the park was dedicated, spurred by the returning veterans of WW II who fell in love with Florida and the arrival of what one wag called “the newly wed and the nearly dead.”

Huge suburbs sprawled out in Southeast Florida, from Dade County on the south to Broward County (Fort Lauderdale, Hollywood ) named after Florida Gov. Napoleon Bonaparte Broward, who was a major swamp-draining advocate, north to Palm Beach County, whose growth was spurred by Henry Flagler, John D. Rockefeller’s right-hand-man at Standard Oil.

Flagler built the Florida East Coast Railroad, inspired by his honeymoon with his second wife in St. Augustine. That’s a true capitalist: Dreaming of railroads, monster resort hotels and cities like Palm Beach and West Palm Beach while on his honeymoon!

“The Swamp” is a great read for anyone interested in the politics of development. The second half of the book deals with attempts to preserve – even restore to something like its natural state — much of this unique ecosystem.

Long before Rachel Carson’s “Silent Spring” spurred the modern environmental movement, Grunwald says, Aldo Leopold, a pioneer ecologist, wrote “A Sand County Almanac” which was published in 1949 shortly after his death (Pages 226-27). In his book Leopold persisted in “questioning the notion that nature existed to serve man, calling for a land ethic in which people would be responsible citizens of the earth rather than its conquerors.”

Leopold (1887-1948), an Iowa native and a long-time Madison, Wis. Wisconsin resident, was a founder of the Wilderness Society in 1935 (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aldo_Leopold) and inspired Floridians like Ernest Lyons, editor of the Stuart News, who made a stirring ecology-based case against a massive flood control project by the Army Corps of Engineers.

Lyons warned against the “Hollandization” – referring to the land ethic of the Netherlands – of South Florida, arguing that the project would provide land reclamation for the few and destruction of natural wetlands that provided nature’s better way of flood control (Page 227).

The Everglades may have even cost Al Gore the presidency in 2000, Grunwald suggests (Page 337-38ff). Gore’s refusal to come out against the proposed Homestead airport that would have gobbled up a huge chunk of the Everglades resulted in environmental diehards turning away from a resolute supporter of ecology toward Ralph Nader. Gore lost Florida by 537 votes. “Nader received more than 96,000 votes, and some operatives attributed 10,000 of them to the airport issue. That was more than enough to elect a president who would support oil exploration in the arctic National Wildlife Refuge…and enrage environmentalists like no president since Ronald Reagan,” Grunwald writes.

A prediction: “The Swamp” will be on everybody’s short list for the National Book Award and the Pulitzer Prize. If I were voting, I’d give it both honors!

Publisher’s web site: http://www.simonsays.com

Posted in Books, Real Estate | 4 Comments »

PARALLEL UNIVERSE: Mozilla’s Firefox Sets Download Record, Confirming My Computer Guru’s Smarts

Posted by kinchendavid on August 4, 2006

By David M. Kinchen

Hinton, WV   – You can’t keep a good browser down. When my desktop computer crashed and burned about a year and a half ago, my computer consultant Johnny P said to ditch Internet Explorer and install Mozilla’s Firefox browser on the replacement CPU that he sold me. I told him to go ahead and I’ve never looked back. When I bought a new laptop, I installed Firefox on it.

According to http://www.Spreadfirefox.com, the open-source internet browser has been downloaded more the 200 million times since it was released 21 months ago, setting a new record. In my opinion, it’s so much better than Internet Explorer that there’s no comparison.

In a statement posted on http://www.Spreadfirefox.com, Mozilla developer and community coordinator Asa Dotzler thanked the “tens of thousands” of affiliate members who use “buttons, banners, and links to spread the word about Firefox.”

You don’t really appreciate Firefox until you can’t access it, at a public computer, for instance. I was in Chicago last month and used the computer room in my sister’s apartment building. All of the PCs had Internet Explorer; none had Firefox.

A few days ago, RealNetworks, Google and Mozilla announced that they entered in a new multi-year agreement under which Real would offer the popular Google Toolbar and the Mozilla Firefox Web browser with RealPlayer. “Mozilla is very pleased to partner with global leaders like Google and Real to distribute our award-winning Firefox Web browser,” said Mitchell Baker, CEO of Mozilla Corporation. “Thanks to our global community of open source contributors Firefox is making the Web browsing experience better for everyone.”

The average worldwide market share for Firefox and/or Mozilla browsers is estimated at 13 percent by analysts and even at 16 percent in the US. The company also claims usage share of Microsoft’s Internet Explorer series, including the IE7 betas, dropped by 2.12% in the last two months. When I cranked up my computer to write this piece, it was in the process of downloading Firefox updates. Last month, Mozilla launched the long expected Beta 2.0 version of Firefox. Two important new capabilities of Firefox 2.0 Beta are unanimously acclaimed by geeks everywhere: an integrated spell checker, and an anti-phishing tool.

According to news accounts, the spell-checker should help bloggers and forum members happy, since grammar and writing mistakes are going to be eliminated. Send up a mighty cheer! Because these people are seriously grammar and spelling challenged!

The interface is pretty much same like the one we see in Firefox 1.5. Firefox 2.0 does include a horizontal scrolling capability for tabs, and an ability to close a tab directly from within the tab itself. The Options dialog has been reworked to include a horizontal, tabbed based interface, and numerous changes have been made under the hood.

This is great geek talk; the point I like about Firefox is it keeps most viruses away, preserving my computer to work another day. The one thing I don’t like about Firefox is that it disables the special font tools on Hotmail, enabling people to have boldface or italic or different colored typefaces. For this, I have to switch to I.E.

Web site: http://www.mozilla.org

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